The Coronavirus pandemic and the new world it is creating
Politics
The COVID-19 crisis is not a war but it is ‘war-like’ in that it
requires the mobilisation and direction of resources at unprecedented levels.
Solidarity between countries and a readiness to make sacrifices for the common
good are decisive. Only by pulling together and cooperating
across borders can we beat the virus and contain its consequences – and the EU
has a central role to play. This was the clear and united
position of EU Foreign Ministers when we discussed the crisis on 23 March via
video-link.
It
is sometimes said that wars are won not by tactics or even strategy, but by
logistics and communications. This seems true for COVID-19 as well: whoever is
best at organising the response, quickly drawing on lessons learnt from around
the world and communicating successfully towards citizens and the wider world,
will come out strongest.
There
is a global
battle of narratives going on in which timing is a crucial
factor. In January, the dominant framing was of this being a local crisis in
Hubei province, aggravated by the cover up of crucial information by Chinese
party officials. Europe was sending a lot of medical equipment to help Chinese
authorities that were overwhelmed at the time. Since then, China has brought
down local new infections to single figures – and it is now sending equipment
and doctors to Europe, as others do as well. China is aggressively pushing the
message that, unlike the US, it is a responsible and reliable partner. In the
battle of narratives we have also seen attempts to discredit the EU as such and
some instances where Europeans have been stigmatised as if all were carriers of
the virus.
The
point for Europe is this: we can be sure that perceptions will change again as
the outbreak and our response to it evolves. But we must be aware there is a
geo-political component including a struggle for influence through spinning and
the ‘politics of generosity’. Armed with facts, we need to defend Europe
against its detractors.
There
is also a battle of narratives within
Europe. It is vital that the EU shows it is a Union
that protects and that solidarity is not an empty phrase. After
the first wave in which national authorities took centre stage, now the EU is
coming to the fore with joint actions on all tracks where member states have
empowered it to act: with joint procurement of vital medical equipment, with a
joint economic stimulus and a necessary relaxation of fiscal and state aid
rules.
In
addition, the EU’s role contains a big external component. We
are assisting member states with their consular efforts, helping to bring
stranded Europeans back home. For example, in the past week,
joint efforts in Morocco enabled the repatriation of around 30.000 EU citizens.
This shows that we can deliver together.
Much
more remains to be done. Worldwide, around 100,000 European travellers have
registered at local embassies or consulates but the true figure of those that
need to come home lies much higher.
A global pandemic needs global
solutions and the EU has to be at the centre of the fight. I
am in touch with partners around the world, from Asia, Latin America and
Africa, to help build a coordinated international response. In a crisis, the
human instinct is often to turn inwards, to close borders and fend for
yourself. While understandable, this stance is self-defeating. The COVID-19
emergency cannot be solved within one country, or by going it alone. Doing so
simply means all of us will
struggle longer, with higher human and economic costs.
What
we should work for instead is a radical scaling up of international cooperation
among scientists, economists and policy-makers. At the UN, the
WHO and the IMF. Within the G7 and G20 and other international fora. Pooling
resources to work on treatments and a vaccine. Limiting the economic damage by
coordinating fiscal and monetary stimulus measures and keeping trade in goods
open. Collaborating on re-opening borders when scientists tell us that we can.
And fighting on-line disinformation campaigns. This is a time for solidarity
and cooperation, not blame games which will not heal a single infected person.
While the needs are great at
home, the EU should also be ready to assist others in fragile situations who
risk being overwhelmed. Just think of the refugee camps in Syria
and what would happen if COVID19 broke out there to people who have already
suffered so much. In this respect Africa is a major concern. With Ebola it may
have built more recent experience with handling pandemics than Europe, but
health systems overall are very weak and a full outbreak would wreak havoc.
Social distancing and living in confinement is exponentially more difficult in
densely populated urban areas of Africa. Millions in Africa make their living
in the informal economy and will have to handle the outbreak without any social
safety net. Even before the virus has hit the continent, Africans, with other
emerging economies, have to deal with a massive level of capital
withdrawal.
Elsewhere
countries like Venezuela or Iran may well collapse without our support. This
means we should ensure they have access to IMF assistance. And with Iran, we
need to make sure that legitimate humanitarian trade can proceed despite US
sanctions.
We
should also remember that none of the other problems that we focused on
before the corona-crisis, has gone away. In fact, they may get worse.
COVID-19 may well deepen some of the longer running conflicts in the
neighbourhood. As Europe we already had to navigate a world of growing
geo-political tensions, especially between the US and China. Here too, the risk
is that COVID-19 will compound pre-existing trends.
Overall the
task for the EU is to defy the critics and demonstrate in very concrete terms
that it is effective and responsible in times of crisis. Jean
Monnet wrote in his memoirs that "Europe will be forged in crises, and
will be the sum of the solutions adopted for those crises." Let that be
our guiding philosophy as we battle this crisis and prepare for what comes
after.
Source: The European Union